Bounty Gold

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There are also strategic questions around dependence on AI providers.

Cubeia is currently heavily reliant on Claude, and Grenstad questions what could happen if AI providers raise prices or if quality changes. For now, however, Grenstad sees the uncertainty as something Cubeia can learn to manage.

“We’re confident that the question marks will be solved as we work through them. We’ll see the problems, learn how to manage them, and adapt.”

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Lane Kiffin will face Ole Miss, his former team, for the first time since he was named LSU head coach last November. For Kiffin’s return to Oxford, the Tigers are 59% favourites at Kalshi.

The announcement came on the same week that Indian Gaming Association leaders met with CFTC Chair Michael Selig. The meetings centred on prediction market-related discussions that IGA Chair David Bean deemed mostly unproductive. On Wednesday, the US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit reversed a lower court’s decision in Blue Lake Rancheria vs Kalshi.

Per the ruling, the Ninth Circuit determined that Kalshi’s sports event contracts amount to unauthorised gaming under the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act (IGRA) when accessed on tribal land.

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Andrew Gonzalez, founder of prediction market infrastructure startup ParlayX, believes the ability of small teams to provide liquidity is one of the sector’s defining features. “Anyone can be a market maker,” he said. “You have these two- or three-man shops.”

Jefferies described market makers as the ecosystem’s “liquidity backbone”. They post executable bids and offers, manage inventory and provide prices when customer activity is heavily weighted to one side.

The analysts estimated that an operator capturing a one-cent spread and managing its exposure successfully could generate net economics of approximately $1.69 on a $100 trade. Returns are not guaranteed: adverse price movements and unresolved inventory can offset or exceed income from spreads, rebates and liquidity incentives.